Macys Stock Price Prediction

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M -- USA Stock  

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Macys Inc stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Macys shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Macys stock future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Macys Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Additionally, see Macys Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Macys based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Macys stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Macys over a specific investment horizon. Using Macys hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Macys Inc from the perspective of Macys response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Macys. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Macys to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Macys because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Macys after-hype prediction price

 = 
6.59
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Earnings
Estimates (7)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-5.35-4.61-4.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.336.5513.15
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
1.438.0314.64
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
4.507.2818.00
Details

Macys After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Macys at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Macys or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Macys, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Macys Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
6.77
12th of July 2020
6.59
After-hype Price
13.19
Upside
Macys is unstable asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Macys Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Macys Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.36  6.60  0.18   0.21  8 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
6.776.592.66 
1,294  

Macys Hype Timeline

As of July 12, 2020 Macys Inc is listed for 6.77. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.18 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.21. Macys is expected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 6.59. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -2.66% whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.36%. The volatility of related hype on Macys is about 1143.85% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 6.56. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.78. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Macys Inc has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.09. The entity recorded loss per share of 10.17. The firm last dividend was issued on the 12th of March 2020. Macys had 2:1 split on 12th of June 2006. Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, the next expected press release will be in about 8 days.
Additionally, see Macys Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Macys Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Companhia Brasileira De 0.59 5 per month 3.34 (0.0131)  5.98 (5.28)  19.02 
Dillards(1.52) 6 per month 0.00 (0.09)  10.11 (10.00)  27.06 
Kohls 1.28 9 per month 5.30  0.05  11.49 (7.93)  28.95 
Johnson Johnson 1.20 8 per month 1.15 (0.09)  2.21 (1.59)  9.17 
Walmart(0.32) 6 per month 1.01 (0.0464)  2.77 (1.98)  8.76 
Macys Inc(0.51) 8 per month 5.99  0.0355  10.82 (8.53)  34.47 
Apple Inc(5.92) 10 per month 1.18  0.24  2.89 (2.08)  9.85 
JC Penney 0.00 3 per month 12.99  0.20  72.91 (31.75)  128.62 
Nordstrom(0.50) 9 per month 0.00 (0.0301)  12.21 (9.48)  29.07 
Workhorse Group(0.07) 9 per month 4.24  0.38  19.85 (7.52)  62.35 

Macys Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Macys stock price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Macys using various technical indicators. When you analyze Macys charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Cycle Indicators
Math Operators
Math Transform
Momentum Indicators
Overlap Studies
Pattern Recognition
Price Transform
Statistic Functions
Volatility Indicators
Volume Indicators
Plus Directional Indicator
Aroon Oscillator
Stochastic Fast
Absolute Price Oscillator
Average Directional Movement Index
Stochastic Relative Strength Index
Chande Momentum Oscillator
Plus Directional Movement
Moving Average Convergence Divergence Fix
Momentum

About Macys Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Macys stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Macys Inc, already reflect all publically available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'text-book' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns on his or her portfolios. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of BlackBerry Limited based on analysis of Macys hews, social hype, and general headline patterns together with widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to Macys's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Macys's related companies.
 2010 2014 2020 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity1.080.571.01
Interest Coverage7.134.376.05
Additionally, see Macys Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Macroaxis is not a registered investment advisor or broker/dealer. All investments, including stocks, funds, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies, are speculative and involve substantial risk of loss. We encourage our investors to invest carefully. Much of our information is derived directly from data published by companies or submitted to governmental agencies which we believe are reliable, but are without our independent verification. Therefore, we cannot assure you that the information is accurate or complete. We do not in any way warrant or guarantee the success of any action you take in reliance on our statements or recommendations. Also, note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. All investments carry risk, and all investment decisions of an individual remain the responsibility of that individual. There is no guarantee that systems, indicators, or signals will result in profits or that they will not result in losses. All investors are advised to fully understand all risks associated with any investing they choose to do. Hypothetical or simulated performance is not indicative of future results. We make no representations or warranties that any investor will, or is likely to, achieve profits similar to those shown because hypothetical or simulated performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. For more information please visit our terms and condition page