Nextdecade Corp Stock Price Prediction
| NEXT Stock | USD 6.11 0.17 2.86% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
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Oversold | Overbought |
Nextdecade Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Nextdecade Corp shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Nextdecade Corp's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Nextdecade Corp and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Nextdecade Corp's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Nextdecade Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Nextdecade Corp's stock price prediction:EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.25) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.37) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.22) | Wall Street Target Price 8.6 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.20) |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Nextdecade Corp based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Nextdecade stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Nextdecade Corp over a specific investment horizon. Using Nextdecade Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nextdecade Corp from the perspective of Nextdecade Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Nextdecade Corp using Nextdecade Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Nextdecade using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Nextdecade Corp's stock price.
Nextdecade Corp Implied Volatility | 103.32 |
Nextdecade Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Nextdecade Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Nextdecade Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Nextdecade Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Nextdecade Corp's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Nextdecade Corp. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Nextdecade Corp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Nextdecade because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Nextdecade Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 6.16 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Nextdecade |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nextdecade Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Nextdecade Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Nextdecade Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nextdecade Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nextdecade Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Nextdecade Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Nextdecade Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nextdecade Corp's historical news coverage. Nextdecade Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.32 and 9.00, respectively. We have considered Nextdecade Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Nextdecade Corp is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nextdecade Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Nextdecade Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nextdecade Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nextdecade Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nextdecade Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.45 | 2.84 | 0.05 | 0.08 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
6.11 | 6.16 | 0.82 |
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Nextdecade Corp Hype Timeline
Nextdecade Corp is now traded for 6.11. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. Nextdecade is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 6.16 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.82%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.45%. The volatility of related hype on Nextdecade Corp is about 1613.64%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.19. Net Loss for the year was (162.26 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.61 M). Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Nextdecade Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Nextdecade Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Nextdecade Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nextdecade Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Nextdecade Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nextdecade Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EQT | EQT Corporation | 1.01 | 11 per month | 1.81 | (0.02) | 3.01 | (2.47) | 18.34 | |
| SWN | Southwestern Energy | (0.01) | 11 per month | 0.98 | 0.05 | 2.23 | (1.73) | 9.14 | |
| CTRA | Coterra Energy | 0.25 | 9 per month | 0.82 | 0.07 | 2.10 | (1.63) | 7.89 | |
| AR | Antero Resources Corp | 1.52 | 10 per month | 1.19 | 0.16 | 3.16 | (2.34) | 13.54 | |
| EPM | Evolution Petroleum | (0.06) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.34 | (3.44) | 11.67 | |
| GPRK | GeoPark | (0.07) | 8 per month | 1.43 | 0.08 | 2.76 | (2.70) | 11.42 | |
| GRNT | Granite Ridge Resources | (0.04) | 10 per month | 1.48 | 0.19 | 3.32 | (2.67) | 10.43 | |
| PHX | PHX Minerals | 0.02 | 10 per month | 1.29 | (0) | 2.94 | (2.34) | 6.11 | |
| CRC | California Resources Corp | (0.73) | 9 per month | 2.34 | 0.03 | 3.12 | (4.22) | 21.26 | |
| EPSN | Epsilon Energy | (0.13) | 9 per month | 1.16 | 0.06 | 2.67 | (1.80) | 7.09 |
Nextdecade Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Nextdecade price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nextdecade using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nextdecade charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Nextdecade Corp Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Nextdecade Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Nextdecade Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Nextdecade Corp based on analysis of Nextdecade Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Nextdecade Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Nextdecade Corp's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 1.8 | 2.5 | 3.22 | 2.25 | Dividend Yield | 1.97E-4 | 1.17E-4 | 5.7E-5 | 8.6E-5 |
Story Coverage note for Nextdecade Corp
The number of cover stories for Nextdecade Corp depends on current market conditions and Nextdecade Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nextdecade Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nextdecade Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Nextdecade Corp Short Properties
Nextdecade Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Nextdecade Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nextdecade Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nextdecade Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nextdecade Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 194.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 294.5 M |
Check out Nextdecade Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Nextdecade Stock please use our How to Invest in Nextdecade Corp guide.You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
Complementary Tools for Nextdecade Stock analysis
When running Nextdecade Corp's price analysis, check to measure Nextdecade Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nextdecade Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Nextdecade Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nextdecade Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nextdecade Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nextdecade Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Nextdecade Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nextdecade Corp. If investors know Nextdecade will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Nextdecade Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.94) | Return On Assets (0.04) | Return On Equity (0.44) |
The market value of Nextdecade Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Nextdecade that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Nextdecade Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Nextdecade Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Nextdecade Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Nextdecade Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Nextdecade Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nextdecade Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nextdecade Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.