Ocwen Financial Stock Price Prediction

OCN Stock  USD 27.01  0.24  0.90%   
The relative strength indicator of Ocwen Financial's share price is below 30 as of today. This indicates that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Ocwen Financial, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

26

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Ocwen Financial stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Ocwen Financial shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Ocwen Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Ocwen Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Ocwen Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ocwen Financial, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Ocwen Financial's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.75)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.21
EPS Estimate Current Year
5.46
EPS Estimate Next Year
7.07
Wall Street Target Price
40
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Ocwen Financial based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Ocwen stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Ocwen Financial over a specific investment horizon. Using Ocwen Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ocwen Financial from the perspective of Ocwen Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Ocwen Financial using Ocwen Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Ocwen using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Ocwen Financial's stock price.

Ocwen Financial Implied Volatility

    
  0.0  
Ocwen Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Ocwen Financial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Ocwen Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Ocwen Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Ocwen Financial's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Ocwen Financial. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ocwen Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ocwen because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Ocwen Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 27.01  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Ocwen contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Ocwen Financial will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Ocwen Financial trading at USD 27.01, that is roughly USD 0.0 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Ocwen Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Ocwen Financial options at the current volatility level of 0.0%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Ocwen Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Ocwen Stock, please use our How to Invest in Ocwen Financial guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ocwen Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.5727.2629.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.3428.0330.72
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
36.4040.0044.40
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.001.111.42
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ocwen Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ocwen Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ocwen Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ocwen Financial.

Ocwen Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Ocwen Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ocwen Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ocwen Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Ocwen Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Ocwen Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ocwen Financial's historical news coverage. Ocwen Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.32 and 29.70, respectively. We have considered Ocwen Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
27.01
27.01
After-hype Price
29.70
Upside
Ocwen Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ocwen Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.

Ocwen Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ocwen Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ocwen Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ocwen Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.22 
2.69
  0.06 
  0.01 
8 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
27.01
27.01
0.00 
960.71  
Notes

Ocwen Financial Hype Timeline

On the 29th of March Ocwen Financial is traded for 27.01. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Ocwen is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.22%. %. The volatility of related hype on Ocwen Financial is about 9356.52%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.02. About 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.52. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Ocwen Financial recorded a loss per share of 8.34. The entity last dividend was issued on the 26th of August 1999. The firm had 1:15 split on the 14th of August 2020. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Ocwen Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Ocwen Stock, please use our How to Invest in Ocwen Financial guide.

Ocwen Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Ocwen Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ocwen Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Ocwen Financial rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ocwen Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
TAPMolson Coors Brewing 0.27 9 per month 0.83  0.02  2.15 (1.71) 5.45 
CCUCompania Cervecerias Unidas(0.12)8 per month 0.00 (0.16) 2.62 (2.18) 6.76 
JAPAYJapan Tobacco ADR 0.00 0 per month 0.90 (0.14) 1.39 (1.32) 3.81 
STBGYScandinavian Tobacco Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.02) 0.00  0.00  7.91 
COCOVita Coco 0.01 8 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.82 (3.71) 17.30 
VGRVector Group(0.17)8 per month 1.81 (0.05) 2.25 (3.14) 19.21 
INNSummit Hotel Properties 0.20 9 per month 0.00 (0.08) 2.42 (2.77) 10.04 
WVVIWillamette Valley Vineyards 0.04 6 per month 0.00 (0.10) 2.56 (1.92) 8.65 

Ocwen Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Ocwen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ocwen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ocwen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Ocwen Financial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Ocwen Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ocwen Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ocwen Financial based on analysis of Ocwen Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ocwen Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ocwen Financial's related companies.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.03150.0299
Price To Sales Ratio0.230.21

Story Coverage note for Ocwen Financial

The number of cover stories for Ocwen Financial depends on current market conditions and Ocwen Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ocwen Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ocwen Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Ocwen Financial Short Properties

Ocwen Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ocwen Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ocwen Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ocwen Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ocwen Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding7.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments255.1 M
When determining whether Ocwen Financial offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Ocwen Financial's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Ocwen Financial Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Ocwen Financial Stock:
Check out Ocwen Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Ocwen Stock, please use our How to Invest in Ocwen Financial guide.
Note that the Ocwen Financial information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Ocwen Financial's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.

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When running Ocwen Financial's price analysis, check to measure Ocwen Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ocwen Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Ocwen Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ocwen Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ocwen Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ocwen Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Ocwen Financial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ocwen Financial. If investors know Ocwen will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ocwen Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.75)
Earnings Share
(8.34)
Revenue Per Share
139.688
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.107
Return On Assets
0.0328
The market value of Ocwen Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ocwen that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ocwen Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ocwen Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ocwen Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ocwen Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ocwen Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ocwen Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ocwen Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.