Oceaneering International Stock Price Prediction

OII Stock  USD 22.63  0.03  0.13%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Oceaneering International's share price is above 70 as of 22nd of April 2024. This indicates that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Oceaneering, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

70

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Oceaneering International stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Oceaneering International shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Oceaneering International's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Oceaneering International and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Oceaneering International's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Oceaneering International, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Oceaneering International's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.887
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.26
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.11
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.69
Wall Street Target Price
25.33
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Oceaneering International based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Oceaneering stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Oceaneering International over a specific investment horizon. Using Oceaneering International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Oceaneering International from the perspective of Oceaneering International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Oceaneering International using Oceaneering International's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Oceaneering using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Oceaneering International's stock price.

Oceaneering International Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Oceaneering International's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Oceaneering. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Oceaneering International stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Oceaneering International may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Oceaneering International and may potentially protect profits, hedge Oceaneering International with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
22.1843
Short Percent
0.0608
Short Ratio
5.29
Shares Short Prior Month
4.9 M
50 Day MA
22.2216

Oceaneering International Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Oceaneering International's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Oceaneering. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Oceaneering can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Oceaneering International. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Oceaneering International's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Oceaneering International.

Oceaneering International Implied Volatility

    
  54.14  
Oceaneering International's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Oceaneering International stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Oceaneering International's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Oceaneering International stock will not fluctuate a lot when Oceaneering International's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Oceaneering International. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Oceaneering International to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Oceaneering because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Oceaneering International after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 22.6  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Oceaneering International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Oceaneering Stock please use our How to Invest in Oceaneering International guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Oceaneering International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.2024.2826.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.7619.8421.92
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
23.2125.5028.31
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.7-0.240.07
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Oceaneering International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Oceaneering International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Oceaneering International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Oceaneering International.

Oceaneering International After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Oceaneering International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Oceaneering International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Oceaneering International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Oceaneering International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Oceaneering International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Oceaneering International's historical news coverage. Oceaneering International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.52 and 24.68, respectively. We have considered Oceaneering International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
22.63
22.60
After-hype Price
24.68
Upside
Oceaneering International is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Oceaneering International is based on 3 months time horizon.

Oceaneering International Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Oceaneering International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Oceaneering International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Oceaneering International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.16 
2.08
 0.00  
  0.02 
8 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
22.63
22.60
0.00 
10,400  
Notes

Oceaneering International Hype Timeline

On the 22nd of April Oceaneering International is traded for 22.63. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. Oceaneering is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.16%. %. The volatility of related hype on Oceaneering International is about 1485.71%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.65. About 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Oceaneering International was now reported as 6.23. The company last dividend was issued on the 23rd of August 2017. Oceaneering International had 2:1 split on the 13th of June 2011. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Oceaneering International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Oceaneering Stock please use our How to Invest in Oceaneering International guide.

Oceaneering International Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Oceaneering International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Oceaneering International's future price movements. Getting to know how Oceaneering International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Oceaneering International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Oceaneering International Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Oceaneering price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Oceaneering using various technical indicators. When you analyze Oceaneering charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Oceaneering International Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Oceaneering International stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Oceaneering International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Oceaneering International based on analysis of Oceaneering International hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Oceaneering International's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Oceaneering International's related companies.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02450.0287
Price To Sales Ratio0.880.98

Story Coverage note for Oceaneering International

The number of cover stories for Oceaneering International depends on current market conditions and Oceaneering International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Oceaneering International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Oceaneering International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Oceaneering International Short Properties

Oceaneering International's future price predictability will typically decrease when Oceaneering International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Oceaneering International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Oceaneering International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oceaneering International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding102.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments461.6 M
When determining whether Oceaneering International offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Oceaneering International's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Oceaneering International Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Oceaneering International Stock:
Check out Oceaneering International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Oceaneering Stock please use our How to Invest in Oceaneering International guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.

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Is Oceaneering International's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Oceaneering International. If investors know Oceaneering will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Oceaneering International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.887
Earnings Share
0.95
Revenue Per Share
24.079
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.221
Return On Assets
0.0531
The market value of Oceaneering International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Oceaneering that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Oceaneering International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Oceaneering International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Oceaneering International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Oceaneering International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Oceaneering International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Oceaneering International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Oceaneering International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.