Overseas Shipholding Group Stock Price Prediction
OSG Stock | USD 6.08 0.04 0.65% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
43
Oversold | Overbought |
Overseas Shipholding stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Overseas Shipholding shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Overseas Shipholding's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Overseas Shipholding and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Overseas Shipholding's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Overseas Shipholding Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Overseas Shipholding's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.247 | Wall Street Target Price 13 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Overseas Shipholding based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Overseas stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Overseas Shipholding over a specific investment horizon. Using Overseas Shipholding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Overseas Shipholding Group from the perspective of Overseas Shipholding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Overseas Shipholding using Overseas Shipholding's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Overseas using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Overseas Shipholding's stock price.
Overseas Shipholding Implied Volatility | 0.0 |
Overseas Shipholding's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Overseas Shipholding Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Overseas Shipholding's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Overseas Shipholding stock will not fluctuate a lot when Overseas Shipholding's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Overseas Shipholding. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Overseas Shipholding to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Overseas because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Overseas Shipholding after-hype prediction price | USD 6.09 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Overseas |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Overseas Shipholding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Overseas Shipholding After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Overseas Shipholding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Overseas Shipholding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Overseas Shipholding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Overseas Shipholding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Overseas Shipholding's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Overseas Shipholding's historical news coverage. Overseas Shipholding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.00 and 8.18, respectively. We have considered Overseas Shipholding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Overseas Shipholding is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Overseas Shipholding is based on 3 months time horizon.
Overseas Shipholding Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Overseas Shipholding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Overseas Shipholding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Overseas Shipholding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 2.10 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 11 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
6.08 | 6.09 | 0.16 |
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Overseas Shipholding Hype Timeline
On the 25th of April Overseas Shipholding is traded for 6.08. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Overseas is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 6.09 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.16%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.09%. The volatility of related hype on Overseas Shipholding is about 1139.53%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.06. The company reported the last year's revenue of 451.87 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 62.45 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 160.81 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Overseas Shipholding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Overseas Shipholding Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Overseas Shipholding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Overseas Shipholding's future price movements. Getting to know how Overseas Shipholding's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Overseas Shipholding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
OKE | ONEOK Inc | (0.23) | 10 per month | 0.51 | 0.15 | 2.08 | (1.07) | 4.34 | |
EPD | Enterprise Products Partners | (0.24) | 10 per month | 0.54 | 0.07 | 1.12 | (0.98) | 3.15 | |
ET | Energy Transfer LP | (0.12) | 10 per month | 0.52 | 0.17 | 1.97 | (1.23) | 3.98 | |
KMI | Kinder Morgan | (0.27) | 9 per month | 0.68 | 0.06 | 2.41 | (1.56) | 4.43 | |
WES | Western Midstream Partners | (0.47) | 10 per month | 0.75 | 0.17 | 2.63 | (2.04) | 13.68 | |
HESM | Hess Midstream Partners | 0.24 | 9 per month | 0.90 | 0.08 | 1.60 | (1.41) | 5.81 | |
AM | Antero Midstream Partners | (0.20) | 10 per month | 0.64 | 0.12 | 2.26 | (1.23) | 7.96 |
Overseas Shipholding Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Overseas price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Overseas using various technical indicators. When you analyze Overseas charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About Overseas Shipholding Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Overseas Shipholding stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Overseas Shipholding Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Overseas Shipholding based on analysis of Overseas Shipholding hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Overseas Shipholding's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Overseas Shipholding's related companies. 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0824 | 0.0783 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.92 | 0.96 |
Story Coverage note for Overseas Shipholding
The number of cover stories for Overseas Shipholding depends on current market conditions and Overseas Shipholding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Overseas Shipholding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Overseas Shipholding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Overseas Shipholding Short Properties
Overseas Shipholding's future price predictability will typically decrease when Overseas Shipholding's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Overseas Shipholding Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Overseas Shipholding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Overseas Shipholding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 81.2 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 91.2 M |
Check out Overseas Shipholding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Complementary Tools for Overseas Stock analysis
When running Overseas Shipholding's price analysis, check to measure Overseas Shipholding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Overseas Shipholding is operating at the current time. Most of Overseas Shipholding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Overseas Shipholding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Overseas Shipholding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Overseas Shipholding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Overseas Shipholding's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Overseas Shipholding. If investors know Overseas will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Overseas Shipholding listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.247 | Dividend Share 0.06 | Earnings Share 0.77 | Revenue Per Share 5.757 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) |
The market value of Overseas Shipholding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Overseas that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Overseas Shipholding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Overseas Shipholding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Overseas Shipholding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Overseas Shipholding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Overseas Shipholding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Overseas Shipholding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Overseas Shipholding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.