Repligen Stock Price Prediction
| RGEN Stock | USD 157.06 3.92 2.44% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
29
Oversold | Overbought |
Repligen stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Repligen shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Repligen's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Repligen and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Repligen's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Repligen, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Repligen's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.55) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.35 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.46 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.07 | Wall Street Target Price 204.62 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Repligen based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Repligen stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Repligen over a specific investment horizon. Using Repligen hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Repligen from the perspective of Repligen response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Repligen using Repligen's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Repligen using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Repligen's stock price.
Repligen Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Repligen's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Repligen. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Repligen stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Repligen may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Repligen and may potentially protect profits, hedge Repligen with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 169.7957 | Short Percent 0.1 | Short Ratio 12.26 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.8 M | 50 Day MA 190.9252 |
Repligen Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Repligen's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Repligen. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Repligen can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Repligen. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Repligen's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Repligen.
Repligen Implied Volatility | 155.07 |
Repligen's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Repligen stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Repligen's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Repligen stock will not fluctuate a lot when Repligen's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Repligen. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Repligen to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Repligen because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Repligen after-hype prediction price | USD 160.93 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Repligen contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Repligen will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 9.69% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Repligen trading at USD 157.06, that is roughly USD 15.22 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Repligen's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Repligen options at the current volatility level of 155.07%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Repligen |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Repligen's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Repligen After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Repligen at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Repligen or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Repligen, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Repligen Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Repligen's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Repligen's historical news coverage. Repligen's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 158.83 and 163.03, respectively. We have considered Repligen's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Repligen is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Repligen is based on 3 months time horizon.
Repligen Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Repligen is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Repligen backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Repligen, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 2.11 | 0.06 | 0.10 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
157.06 | 160.93 | 0.03 |
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Repligen Hype Timeline
Repligen is at this time traded for 157.06. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. Repligen is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 160.93. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Repligen is about 384.34%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 157.16. About 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Repligen was at this time reported as 35.35. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.59. Repligen last dividend was issued on the 29th of October 2010. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Repligen Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Repligen Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Repligen's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Repligen's future price movements. Getting to know how Repligen's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Repligen may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ISRG | Intuitive Surgical | 1.01 | 11 per month | 1.24 | (0) | 2.77 | (1.93) | 6.95 | |
| INND | Innerscope Advertising Agency | 0.00 | 0 per month | 17.46 | 0.10 | 50.00 | (33.33) | 83.33 | |
| POAI | Predictive Oncology | 0.01 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 5.54 | (8.27) | 22.66 | |
| STAA | STAAR Surgical | 1.52 | 13 per month | 2.85 | 0.15 | 6.97 | (5.14) | 23.65 | |
| BDX | Becton Dickinson and | 2.06 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 1.69 | (1.86) | 4.20 | |
| WST | West Pharmaceutical Services | 6.54 | 12 per month | 2.55 | 0.04 | 3.54 | (2.03) | 18.44 | |
| RMD | ResMed Inc | (3.23) | 9 per month | 1.88 | (0.01) | 3.50 | (2.62) | 12.88 | |
| GCTK | GlucoTrack | 0.03 | 4 per month | 3.31 | 0.23 | 17.39 | (6.25) | 42.78 | |
| STSS | Sharps Technology | 0.05 | 5 per month | 5.14 | 0.01 | 10.00 | (8.57) | 31.80 | |
| ZJYL | JIN MEDICAL INTERNATIONAL | (2.50) | 8 per month | 13.26 | 0.07 | 30.41 | (23.91) | 98.51 |
Repligen Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Repligen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Repligen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Repligen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Repligen Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Repligen stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Repligen, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Repligen based on analysis of Repligen hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Repligen's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Repligen's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.001812 | 0.0565 | 0.0593 | Price To Sales Ratio | 11.71 | 15.68 | 10.04 |
Story Coverage note for Repligen
The number of cover stories for Repligen depends on current market conditions and Repligen's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Repligen is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Repligen's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Repligen Short Properties
Repligen's future price predictability will typically decrease when Repligen's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Repligen often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Repligen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Repligen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 56.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 751.3 M |
Check out Repligen Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Repligen Stock, please use our How to Invest in Repligen guide.Note that the Repligen information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Repligen's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
Complementary Tools for Repligen Stock analysis
When running Repligen's price analysis, check to measure Repligen's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Repligen is operating at the current time. Most of Repligen's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Repligen's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Repligen's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Repligen to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Repligen's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Repligen. If investors know Repligen will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Repligen listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.55) | Earnings Share 0.74 | Revenue Per Share 11.464 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.17) | Return On Assets 0.0131 |
The market value of Repligen is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Repligen that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Repligen's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Repligen's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Repligen's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Repligen's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Repligen's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Repligen is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Repligen's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.