Seabridge Gold Stock Price Prediction
| SA Stock | USD 15.30 0.67 4.58% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
68
Oversold | Overbought |
Seabridge Gold stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Seabridge Gold shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Seabridge Gold's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Seabridge Gold and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Seabridge Gold's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Seabridge Gold, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Seabridge Gold's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.54) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.03) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.13) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.20) | Wall Street Target Price 40.01 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Seabridge Gold based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Seabridge stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Seabridge Gold over a specific investment horizon. Using Seabridge Gold hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Seabridge Gold from the perspective of Seabridge Gold response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Seabridge Gold using Seabridge Gold's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Seabridge using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Seabridge Gold's stock price.
Seabridge Gold Implied Volatility | 51.13 |
Seabridge Gold's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Seabridge Gold stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Seabridge Gold's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Seabridge Gold stock will not fluctuate a lot when Seabridge Gold's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Seabridge Gold. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Seabridge Gold to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Seabridge because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Seabridge Gold after-hype prediction price | USD 14.54 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Seabridge contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Seabridge Gold will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 3.2% per day over the life of the 2024-05-17 option contract. With Seabridge Gold trading at USD 15.3, that is roughly USD 0.49 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Seabridge Gold's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Seabridge Gold options at the current volatility level of 51.13%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Seabridge |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Seabridge Gold's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Seabridge Gold After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Seabridge Gold at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Seabridge Gold or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Seabridge Gold, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Seabridge Gold Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Seabridge Gold's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Seabridge Gold's historical news coverage. Seabridge Gold's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.71 and 18.37, respectively. We have considered Seabridge Gold's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Seabridge Gold is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Seabridge Gold is based on 3 months time horizon.
Seabridge Gold Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Seabridge Gold is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Seabridge Gold backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Seabridge Gold, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.60 | 3.83 | 0.09 | 0.19 | 10 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
15.30 | 14.54 | 0.62 |
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Seabridge Gold Hype Timeline
As of April 24, 2024 Seabridge Gold is listed for 15.30. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.19. Seabridge is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 14.54. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.62%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.6%. The volatility of related hype on Seabridge Gold is about 1215.87%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.11. About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Seabridge Gold was at this time reported as 8.48. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 560.0. Seabridge Gold recorded a loss per share of 0.25. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Seabridge Gold Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Seabridge Gold Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Seabridge Gold's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Seabridge Gold's future price movements. Getting to know how Seabridge Gold's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Seabridge Gold may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RGLD | Royal Gold | (0.62) | 11 per month | 1.77 | (0.01) | 2.94 | (2.56) | 11.48 | |
| SSRM | SSR Mining | (0.01) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 5.33 | (5.50) | 58.05 |
Seabridge Gold Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Seabridge price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Seabridge using various technical indicators. When you analyze Seabridge charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Seabridge Gold Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Seabridge Gold stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Seabridge Gold, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Seabridge Gold based on analysis of Seabridge Gold hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Seabridge Gold's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Seabridge Gold's related companies. Story Coverage note for Seabridge Gold
The number of cover stories for Seabridge Gold depends on current market conditions and Seabridge Gold's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Seabridge Gold is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Seabridge Gold's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Seabridge Gold Short Properties
Seabridge Gold's future price predictability will typically decrease when Seabridge Gold's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Seabridge Gold often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Seabridge Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Seabridge Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 83 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 86.2 M |
Check out Seabridge Gold Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Seabridge Stock refer to our How to Trade Seabridge Stock guide.Note that the Seabridge Gold information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Seabridge Gold's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Complementary Tools for Seabridge Stock analysis
When running Seabridge Gold's price analysis, check to measure Seabridge Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Seabridge Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Seabridge Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Seabridge Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Seabridge Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Seabridge Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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| Headlines Timeline Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity |
Is Seabridge Gold's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Seabridge Gold. If investors know Seabridge will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Seabridge Gold listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.54) | Earnings Share (0.25) | Return On Assets (0.01) | Return On Equity (0.04) |
The market value of Seabridge Gold is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Seabridge that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Seabridge Gold's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Seabridge Gold's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Seabridge Gold's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Seabridge Gold's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Seabridge Gold's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Seabridge Gold is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Seabridge Gold's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.