Sirius Stock Price Prediction

((XM))
SIRI -- USA Stock  

Trending

Sirius XM Holdings stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Sirius XM shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Sirius XM stock future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sirius XM Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Additionally, take a look at Sirius XM Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Sirius XM based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Sirius stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Sirius XM over a specific investment horizon. Using Sirius XM hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sirius XM Holdings from the perspective of Sirius XM response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. Sirius XM PPandE Turnover is most likely to slightly grow in the upcoming years. The last year's value of PPandE Turnover was reported at 4.97. The current Receivables Turnover is estimated to increase to 26.91, while Interest Coverage is estimated to decrease to 3.89.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Sirius XM. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Sirius XM to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Sirius because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Sirius XM after-hype prediction price

 = 
5.89
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Earnings
Estimates (6)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.210.230.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
3.536.469.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
2.885.808.73
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
4.507.158.50
Details

Sirius XM After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Sirius XM at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sirius XM or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Sirius XM, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Sirius XM Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
5.84
4th of July 2020
5.89
After-hype Price
8.82
Upside
Sirius XM is slightly risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sirius XM Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Sirius XM Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.35  2.90  0.05   0.37  9 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
5.845.890.86 
2,231  

Sirius XM Hype Timeline

Sirius XM Holdings is at this time traded for 5.84. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.37. Sirius is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 5.89 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is estimated to be 0.86% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.35%. The volatility of related hype on Sirius XM is about 273.84% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 6.21. The company reported previous year revenue of 8 B. Net Income was 1.04 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.94 B. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 9 days.
Additionally, take a look at Sirius XM Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Sirius XM Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Weibo(0.54) 28 per month 3.28 (0.06)  4.17 (4.41)  17.85 
AirMedia Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Sirius XM Holdings 0.13 9 per month 2.96  0.0101  5.65 (5.68)  15.35 
Sohu Com Limited 0.55 4 per month 3.61  0.09  7.37 (6.57)  36.23 
Twitter(0.07) 9 per month 3.09  0.0386  7.99 (5.05)  18.20 
Quad Graphics(0.25) 10 per month 6.85  0.0473  16.29 (9.88)  34.60 
SP Global 3.26 8 per month 2.52  0.08  3.37 (4.37)  16.98 
Microsoft 2.42 9 per month 1.78  0.08  3.71 (2.59)  12.81 
Shopify 3.42 7 per month 2.97  0.27  9.50 (6.94)  19.28 
United Parcel Service 1.67 9 per month 2.00  0.0266  4.10 (3.24)  12.30 

Sirius XM Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Sirius stock price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sirius using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sirius charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Cycle Indicators
Math Operators
Math Transform
Momentum Indicators
Overlap Studies
Pattern Recognition
Price Transform
Statistic Functions
Volatility Indicators
Volume Indicators
Stochastic Fast
Directional Movement Index
Ultimate Oscillator
Stochastic
Balance Of Power
Moving Average Convergence Divergence
Commodity Channel Index
Absolute Price Oscillator
Plus Directional Indicator
Stochastic Relative Strength Index

About Sirius XM Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Sirius XM stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Sirius XM Holdings, already reflect all publically available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'text-book' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns on his or her portfolios. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of BlackBerry Limited based on analysis of Sirius XM hews, social hype, and general headline patterns together with widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to Sirius XM's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Sirius XM's related companies.
 2019 2020 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity3.954.86
Interest Coverage4.223.89

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Latest Perspective on Sirius XM

Additionally, take a look at Sirius XM Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Macroaxis is not a registered investment advisor or broker/dealer. All investments, including stocks, funds, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies, are speculative and involve substantial risk of loss. We encourage our investors to invest carefully. Much of our information is derived directly from data published by companies or submitted to governmental agencies which we believe are reliable, but are without our independent verification. Therefore, we cannot assure you that the information is accurate or complete. We do not in any way warrant or guarantee the success of any action you take in reliance on our statements or recommendations. Also, note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. All investments carry risk, and all investment decisions of an individual remain the responsibility of that individual. There is no guarantee that systems, indicators, or signals will result in profits or that they will not result in losses. All investors are advised to fully understand all risks associated with any investing they choose to do. Hypothetical or simulated performance is not indicative of future results. We make no representations or warranties that any investor will, or is likely to, achieve profits similar to those shown because hypothetical or simulated performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. For more information please visit our terms and condition page