Spire Inc Stock Price Prediction

SR Stock  USD 60.91  1.51  2.54%   
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Spire's share price is approaching 45. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Spire, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

45

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Spire Inc stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Spire shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Spire's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Spire and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Spire's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Spire Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Spire's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.09)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
3.86
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.36
EPS Estimate Next Year
4.58
Wall Street Target Price
64.71
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Spire based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Spire stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Spire over a specific investment horizon. Using Spire hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Spire Inc from the perspective of Spire response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Spire using Spire's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Spire using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Spire's stock price.

Spire Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Spire's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Spire. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Spire stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Spire may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Spire and may potentially protect profits, hedge Spire with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
60.0293
Short Percent
0.043
Short Ratio
3.68
Shares Short Prior Month
1.9 M
50 Day MA
59.585

Spire Inc Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Spire's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Spire. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Spire can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Spire Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Spire's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Spire.

Spire Implied Volatility

    
  0.0  
Spire's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Spire Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Spire's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Spire stock will not fluctuate a lot when Spire's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Spire. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Spire to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Spire because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Spire after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 59.4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Spire Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Spire's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
53.4665.0366.28
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
64.6171.0078.81
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.173.724.03
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Spire. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Spire's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Spire's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Spire Inc.

Spire After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Spire at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Spire or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Spire, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Spire Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Spire's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Spire's historical news coverage. Spire's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 58.15 and 60.65, respectively. We have considered Spire's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
60.91
59.40
After-hype Price
60.65
Upside
Spire is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Spire Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Spire Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Spire is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Spire backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Spire, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.05 
1.29
  0.01 
  0.02 
8 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
60.91
59.40
0.00 
1,075  
Notes

Spire Hype Timeline

As of April 19, 2024 Spire Inc is listed for 60.91. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Spire is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Spire is about 326.58%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 60.93. About 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.15. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Spire Inc has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.4. The entity last dividend was issued on the 8th of March 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 8th of March 1994. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Spire Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Spire Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Spire's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Spire's future price movements. Getting to know how Spire's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Spire may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
NWNNorthwest Natural Gas(0.55)10 per month 0.00 (0.04) 2.29 (2.70) 17.15 
CPKChesapeake Utilities 1.50 5 per month 1.56 (0.01) 2.00 (2.57) 7.29 
OGSOne Gas 0.06 10 per month 1.50  0.02  2.55 (2.16) 7.90 
NIMCNiSource Unit 1.30 4 per month 0.00 (0.06) 1.66 (1.54) 6.93 
UGICUGI Corp Unit 1.42 1 per month 1.83  0.01  3.03 (3.27) 15.28 
NJRNewJersey Resources 0.07 11 per month 1.28 (0.03) 1.88 (1.99) 7.11 
NINiSource(0.15)10 per month 0.84  0.01  1.82 (1.37) 3.89 
RGCORGC Resources 1.32 9 per month 2.54 (0.01) 4.08 (4.38) 11.05 
ATOAtmos Energy(0.63)9 per month 0.82 (0.05) 1.73 (1.61) 4.71 
UGIUGI Corporation(0.39)8 per month 1.87  0.01  2.63 (2.81) 17.74 

Spire Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Spire price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Spire using various technical indicators. When you analyze Spire charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Spire Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Spire stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Spire Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Spire based on analysis of Spire hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Spire's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Spire's related companies.
 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.05570.06410.0503
Price To Sales Ratio1.111.00.67

Story Coverage note for Spire

The number of cover stories for Spire depends on current market conditions and Spire's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Spire is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Spire's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Spire Short Properties

Spire's future price predictability will typically decrease when Spire's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Spire Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Spire's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Spire's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding52.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments5.6 M
When determining whether Spire Inc is a strong investment it is important to analyze Spire's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Spire's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Spire Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Spire Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.

Complementary Tools for Spire Stock analysis

When running Spire's price analysis, check to measure Spire's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Spire is operating at the current time. Most of Spire's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Spire's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Spire's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Spire to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Spire's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Spire. If investors know Spire will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Spire listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.09)
Dividend Share
2.915
Earnings Share
3.71
Revenue Per Share
49.434
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.07)
The market value of Spire Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Spire that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Spire's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Spire's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Spire's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Spire's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Spire's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Spire is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Spire's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.