Strategic Education Stock Price Prediction
| STRA Stock | USD 97.26 1.19 1.21% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
52
Oversold | Overbought |
Strategic Education stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Strategic Education shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Strategic Education's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Strategic Education and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Strategic Education's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Strategic Education, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Strategic Education's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.14 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.47 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.62 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.6 | Wall Street Target Price 120.5 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Strategic Education based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Strategic stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Strategic Education over a specific investment horizon. Using Strategic Education hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Strategic Education from the perspective of Strategic Education response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Strategic Education using Strategic Education's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Strategic using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Strategic Education's stock price.
Strategic Education Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Strategic Education's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Strategic. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Strategic Education stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Strategic Education may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Strategic Education and may potentially protect profits, hedge Strategic Education with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 86.3632 | Short Percent 0.0286 | Short Ratio 3.18 | Shares Short Prior Month 447.1 K | 50 Day MA 100.523 |
Strategic Education Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Strategic Education's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Strategic. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Strategic can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Strategic Education. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Strategic Education's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Strategic Education.
Strategic Education Implied Volatility | 37.24 |
Strategic Education's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Strategic Education stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Strategic Education's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Strategic Education stock will not fluctuate a lot when Strategic Education's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Strategic Education. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Strategic Education to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Strategic because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Strategic Education after-hype prediction price | USD 97.04 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Strategic contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Strategic Education will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.33% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Strategic Education trading at USD 97.26, that is roughly USD 2.26 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Strategic Education's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Strategic Education options at the current volatility level of 37.24%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Strategic |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Strategic Education's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Strategic Education After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Strategic Education at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Strategic Education or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Strategic Education, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Strategic Education Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Strategic Education's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Strategic Education's historical news coverage. Strategic Education's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 94.58 and 99.50, respectively. We have considered Strategic Education's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Strategic Education is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Strategic Education is based on 3 months time horizon.
Strategic Education Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Strategic Education is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Strategic Education backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Strategic Education, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 2.44 | 0.22 | 0.00 | 12 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
97.26 | 97.04 | 0.23 |
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Strategic Education Hype Timeline
Strategic Education is at this time traded for 97.26. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.22, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Strategic is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 97.04. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 158.44%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.23%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Strategic Education is about 8133.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 97.26. About 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.47. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Strategic Education has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.46. The entity last dividend was issued on the 8th of March 2024. The firm had 3:2 split on the 19th of November 1997. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Strategic Education Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Strategic Education Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Strategic Education's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Strategic Education's future price movements. Getting to know how Strategic Education's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Strategic Education may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GSUN | Golden Sun Education | (0.01) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 9.09 | (9.21) | 42.96 | |
| QSG | QuantaSing Group Limited | (0.05) | 9 per month | 5.10 | 0.11 | 12.96 | (6.02) | 39.69 |
Strategic Education Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Strategic price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Strategic using various technical indicators. When you analyze Strategic charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Strategic Education Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Strategic Education stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Strategic Education, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Strategic Education based on analysis of Strategic Education hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Strategic Education's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Strategic Education's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0426 | 0.0319 | 0.0272 | 0.0174 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.22 | 1.74 | 1.91 | 1.81 |
Story Coverage note for Strategic Education
The number of cover stories for Strategic Education depends on current market conditions and Strategic Education's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Strategic Education is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Strategic Education's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Strategic Education Short Properties
Strategic Education's future price predictability will typically decrease when Strategic Education's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Strategic Education often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Strategic Education's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Strategic Education's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 221.2 M |
Check out Strategic Education Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Strategic Stock refer to our How to Trade Strategic Stock guide.You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
Complementary Tools for Strategic Stock analysis
When running Strategic Education's price analysis, check to measure Strategic Education's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Strategic Education is operating at the current time. Most of Strategic Education's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Strategic Education's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Strategic Education's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Strategic Education to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Strategic Education's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Strategic Education. If investors know Strategic will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Strategic Education listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.14 | Dividend Share 2.4 | Earnings Share 2.91 | Revenue Per Share 48.409 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.121 |
The market value of Strategic Education is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Strategic that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Strategic Education's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Strategic Education's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Strategic Education's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Strategic Education's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Strategic Education's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Strategic Education is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Strategic Education's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.