Constellation Brands Class Stock Price Prediction

STZ Stock  USD 272.04  2.75  1.02%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Constellation Brands' share price is above 70 at this time. This usually implies that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Constellation, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

76

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Constellation Brands stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Constellation Brands shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Constellation Brands' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Constellation Brands and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Constellation Brands' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Constellation Brands Class, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Constellation Brands' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.23
EPS Estimate Current Year
11.91
EPS Estimate Next Year
13.42
Wall Street Target Price
295.51
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
3
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Constellation Brands based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Constellation stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Constellation Brands over a specific investment horizon. Using Constellation Brands hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Constellation Brands Class from the perspective of Constellation Brands response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Constellation Brands using Constellation Brands' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Constellation using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Constellation Brands' stock price.

Constellation Brands Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Constellation Brands' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Constellation. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Constellation Brands stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Constellation Brands may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Constellation Brands and may potentially protect profits, hedge Constellation Brands with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
249.895
Short Percent
0.01
Short Ratio
1.65
Shares Short Prior Month
1.5 M
50 Day MA
252.6372

Constellation Brands Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Constellation Brands' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Constellation. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Constellation can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Constellation Brands Class. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Constellation Brands' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Constellation Brands.

Constellation Brands Implied Volatility

    
  37.52  
Constellation Brands' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Constellation Brands Class stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Constellation Brands' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Constellation Brands stock will not fluctuate a lot when Constellation Brands' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Constellation Brands. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Constellation Brands to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Constellation because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Constellation Brands after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 272.01  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Constellation contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Constellation Brands Class will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.35% per day over the life of the 2024-03-28 option contract. With Constellation Brands trading at USD 272.04, that is roughly USD 6.38 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Constellation Brands' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Constellation Brands Class options at the current volatility level of 37.52%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Constellation Brands Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Constellation Brands' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
244.84299.61300.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
269.66270.70271.75
Details
26 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
266.45292.80325.01
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.942.093.03
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Constellation Brands. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Constellation Brands' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Constellation Brands' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Constellation Brands.

Constellation Brands After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Constellation Brands at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Constellation Brands or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Constellation Brands, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Constellation Brands Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Constellation Brands' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Constellation Brands' historical news coverage. Constellation Brands' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 270.96 and 273.06, respectively. We have considered Constellation Brands' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
272.04
270.96
Downside
272.01
After-hype Price
273.06
Upside
Constellation Brands is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Constellation Brands is based on 3 months time horizon.

Constellation Brands Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Constellation Brands is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Constellation Brands backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Constellation Brands, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.21 
1.05
  0.03 
  0.02 
10 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
272.04
272.01
0.01 
750.00  
Notes

Constellation Brands Hype Timeline

On the 28th of March Constellation Brands is traded for 272.04. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Constellation is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 272.01. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.01%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Constellation Brands is about 886.95%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 272.02. About 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.26. Constellation Brands recorded earning per share (EPS) of 8.63. The entity last dividend was issued on the 7th of February 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 16th of May 2005. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Constellation Brands Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Constellation Brands Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Constellation Brands' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Constellation Brands' future price movements. Getting to know how Constellation Brands rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Constellation Brands may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Constellation Brands Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Constellation price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Constellation using various technical indicators. When you analyze Constellation charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Constellation Brands Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Constellation Brands stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Constellation Brands Class, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Constellation Brands based on analysis of Constellation Brands hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Constellation Brands's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Constellation Brands's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0140.01360.01740.0166
Price To Sales Ratio4.654.560.761.49

Story Coverage note for Constellation Brands

The number of cover stories for Constellation Brands depends on current market conditions and Constellation Brands' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Constellation Brands is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Constellation Brands' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Constellation Brands Short Properties

Constellation Brands' future price predictability will typically decrease when Constellation Brands' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Constellation Brands Class often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Constellation Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Constellation Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding192.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments133.5 M
When determining whether Constellation Brands offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Constellation Brands' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Constellation Brands Class Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Constellation Brands Class Stock:
Check out Constellation Brands Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.

Complementary Tools for Constellation Stock analysis

When running Constellation Brands' price analysis, check to measure Constellation Brands' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Constellation Brands is operating at the current time. Most of Constellation Brands' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Constellation Brands' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Constellation Brands' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Constellation Brands to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Commodity Channel
Use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum
ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world
Sign In To Macroaxis
Sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules
Portfolio File Import
Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format
Portfolio Center
All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios
Portfolio Anywhere
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal
Money Flow Index
Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios
Equity Valuation
Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data
Pattern Recognition
Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges
Portfolio Optimization
Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk
Sectors
List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities
Is Constellation Brands' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Constellation Brands. If investors know Constellation will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Constellation Brands listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.23
Dividend Share
3.47
Earnings Share
8.63
Revenue Per Share
51.882
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.014
The market value of Constellation Brands is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Constellation that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Constellation Brands' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Constellation Brands' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Constellation Brands' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Constellation Brands' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Constellation Brands' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Constellation Brands is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Constellation Brands' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.