Tenet Healthcare Stock Price Prediction

THC Stock  USD 105.31  0.44  0.42%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Tenet Healthcare's share price is above 70 at the present time. This usually implies that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Tenet, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

71

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Tenet Healthcare stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Tenet Healthcare shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Tenet Healthcare's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Tenet Healthcare and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Tenet Healthcare's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Tenet Healthcare, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Tenet Healthcare's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.403
EPS Estimate Current Year
6.03
EPS Estimate Next Year
7.06
Wall Street Target Price
107.69
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.078
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Tenet Healthcare based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Tenet stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Tenet Healthcare over a specific investment horizon. Using Tenet Healthcare hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tenet Healthcare from the perspective of Tenet Healthcare response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Tenet Healthcare using Tenet Healthcare's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Tenet using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Tenet Healthcare's stock price.

Tenet Healthcare Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Tenet Healthcare's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Tenet. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Tenet Healthcare stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Tenet Healthcare may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Tenet Healthcare and may potentially protect profits, hedge Tenet Healthcare with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
75.7318
Short Percent
0.053
Short Ratio
3.34
Shares Short Prior Month
3.8 M
50 Day MA
91.3936

Tenet Healthcare Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Tenet Healthcare's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Tenet. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Tenet can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Tenet Healthcare. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Tenet Healthcare's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Tenet Healthcare.

Tenet Healthcare Implied Volatility

    
  31.26  
Tenet Healthcare's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Tenet Healthcare stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Tenet Healthcare's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Tenet Healthcare stock will not fluctuate a lot when Tenet Healthcare's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Tenet Healthcare. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Tenet Healthcare to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Tenet because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Tenet Healthcare after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 105.19  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Tenet contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Tenet Healthcare will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.95% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Tenet Healthcare trading at USD 105.31, that is roughly USD 2.06 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Tenet Healthcare's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Tenet Healthcare options at the current volatility level of 31.26%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Tenet Healthcare Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Tenet Stock refer to our How to Trade Tenet Stock guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tenet Healthcare's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
55.6457.49115.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
102.63104.48106.32
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.0025-0.0025-0.0025
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Tenet Healthcare. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Tenet Healthcare's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Tenet Healthcare's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Tenet Healthcare.

Tenet Healthcare After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Tenet Healthcare at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tenet Healthcare or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Tenet Healthcare, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Tenet Healthcare Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Tenet Healthcare's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tenet Healthcare's historical news coverage. Tenet Healthcare's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 103.34 and 107.04, respectively. We have considered Tenet Healthcare's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
105.31
103.34
Downside
105.19
After-hype Price
107.04
Upside
Tenet Healthcare is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tenet Healthcare is based on 3 months time horizon.

Tenet Healthcare Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tenet Healthcare is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tenet Healthcare backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tenet Healthcare, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.56 
1.85
  0.32 
 0.00  
11 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
105.31
105.19
0.31 
324.56  
Notes

Tenet Healthcare Hype Timeline

On the 28th of March Tenet Healthcare is traded for 105.31. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.32, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Tenet is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 105.19 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.31%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.56%. The volatility of related hype on Tenet Healthcare is about 111000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 105.31. The company reported the last year's revenue of 20.55 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 611 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 7.05 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Tenet Healthcare Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Tenet Stock refer to our How to Trade Tenet Stock guide.

Tenet Healthcare Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Tenet Healthcare's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tenet Healthcare's future price movements. Getting to know how Tenet Healthcare rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tenet Healthcare may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Tenet Healthcare Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Tenet price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tenet using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tenet charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Tenet Healthcare Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Tenet Healthcare stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Tenet Healthcare, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Tenet Healthcare based on analysis of Tenet Healthcare hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Tenet Healthcare's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Tenet Healthcare's related companies.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Operating Cycle79.2165.17
Dividend Yield0.0047590.004521

Story Coverage note for Tenet Healthcare

The number of cover stories for Tenet Healthcare depends on current market conditions and Tenet Healthcare's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tenet Healthcare is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tenet Healthcare's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Tenet Healthcare Short Properties

Tenet Healthcare's future price predictability will typically decrease when Tenet Healthcare's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Tenet Healthcare often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Tenet Healthcare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tenet Healthcare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding104.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.2 B
When determining whether Tenet Healthcare offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Tenet Healthcare's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Tenet Healthcare Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Tenet Healthcare Stock:
Check out Tenet Healthcare Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Tenet Stock refer to our How to Trade Tenet Stock guide.
Note that the Tenet Healthcare information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Tenet Healthcare's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.

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When running Tenet Healthcare's price analysis, check to measure Tenet Healthcare's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tenet Healthcare is operating at the current time. Most of Tenet Healthcare's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tenet Healthcare's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tenet Healthcare's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tenet Healthcare to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Tenet Healthcare's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tenet Healthcare. If investors know Tenet will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tenet Healthcare listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.403
Earnings Share
5.71
Revenue Per Share
202.166
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.078
Return On Assets
0.0629
The market value of Tenet Healthcare is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tenet that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tenet Healthcare's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tenet Healthcare's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tenet Healthcare's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tenet Healthcare's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tenet Healthcare's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tenet Healthcare is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tenet Healthcare's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.