Twin Disc Incorporated Stock Price Prediction
| TWIN Stock | USD 16.50 0.04 0.24% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
55
Oversold | Overbought |
Twin Disc rporated stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Twin Disc shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Twin Disc's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Twin Disc and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Twin Disc's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Twin Disc Incorporated, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Twin Disc's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.48) | Wall Street Target Price 15 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.152 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Twin Disc based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Twin stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Twin Disc over a specific investment horizon. Using Twin Disc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Twin Disc Incorporated from the perspective of Twin Disc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Twin Disc using Twin Disc's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Twin using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Twin Disc's stock price.
Twin Disc Implied Volatility | 0.0 |
Twin Disc's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Twin Disc Incorporated stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Twin Disc's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Twin Disc stock will not fluctuate a lot when Twin Disc's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Twin Disc. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Twin Disc to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Twin because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Twin Disc after-hype prediction price | USD 16.49 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Twin |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Twin Disc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Twin Disc After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Twin Disc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Twin Disc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Twin Disc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Twin Disc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Twin Disc's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Twin Disc's historical news coverage. Twin Disc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.29 and 18.69, respectively. We have considered Twin Disc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Twin Disc is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Twin Disc rporated is based on 3 months time horizon.
Twin Disc Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Twin Disc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Twin Disc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Twin Disc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 2.20 | 0.01 | 0.18 | 9 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
16.50 | 16.49 | 0.06 |
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Twin Disc Hype Timeline
Twin Disc rporated is at this time traded for 16.50. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.18. Twin is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 16.49. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Twin Disc is about 83.49%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.68. About 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.59. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Twin Disc rporated last dividend was issued on the 15th of February 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the 2nd of January 2008. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Twin Disc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Twin Disc Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Twin Disc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Twin Disc's future price movements. Getting to know how Twin Disc's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Twin Disc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PH | Parker Hannifin | 12.44 | 10 per month | 0.58 | 0.11 | 2.03 | (1.26) | 9.08 | |
| EMR | Emerson Electric | (0.38) | 9 per month | 0.64 | 0.08 | 1.50 | (1.46) | 12.09 | |
| AOS | Smith AO | 0.15 | 10 per month | 1.20 | 0.03 | 2.42 | (1.85) | 5.02 | |
| WTS | Watts Water Technologies | (1.67) | 12 per month | 2.02 | (0.02) | 2.29 | (1.84) | 11.44 |
Twin Disc Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Twin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Twin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Twin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Twin Disc Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Twin Disc stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Twin Disc Incorporated, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Twin Disc based on analysis of Twin Disc hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Twin Disc's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Twin Disc's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 2.0E-6 | 0.001556 | 0.00179 | 0.0017 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.5 | 0.55 | 0.49 | 0.46 |
Story Coverage note for Twin Disc
The number of cover stories for Twin Disc depends on current market conditions and Twin Disc's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Twin Disc is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Twin Disc's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Twin Disc Short Properties
Twin Disc's future price predictability will typically decrease when Twin Disc's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Twin Disc Incorporated often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Twin Disc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Twin Disc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 13.3 M |
Check out Twin Disc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Complementary Tools for Twin Stock analysis
When running Twin Disc's price analysis, check to measure Twin Disc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Twin Disc is operating at the current time. Most of Twin Disc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Twin Disc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Twin Disc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Twin Disc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Twin Disc's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Twin Disc. If investors know Twin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Twin Disc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.48) | Dividend Share 0.04 | Earnings Share 0.71 | Revenue Per Share 21.691 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.152 |
The market value of Twin Disc rporated is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Twin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Twin Disc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Twin Disc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Twin Disc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Twin Disc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Twin Disc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Twin Disc is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Twin Disc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.