Village Bank And Stock Price Prediction
| VBFC Stock | USD 42.35 0.17 0.40% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
49
Oversold | Overbought |
Village Bank stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Village Bank shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Village Bank's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Village Bank and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Village Bank's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Village Bank and, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Village Bank's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.22) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Village Bank based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Village stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Village Bank over a specific investment horizon. Using Village Bank hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Village Bank and from the perspective of Village Bank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Village Bank. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Village Bank to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Village because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Village Bank after-hype prediction price | USD 42.34 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Village |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Village Bank's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Village Bank After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Village Bank at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Village Bank or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Village Bank, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Village Bank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Village Bank's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Village Bank's historical news coverage. Village Bank's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 40.95 and 43.73, respectively. We have considered Village Bank's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Village Bank is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Village Bank is based on 3 months time horizon.
Village Bank Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Village Bank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Village Bank backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Village Bank, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.40 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 4 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
42.35 | 42.34 | 0.02 |
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Village Bank Hype Timeline
Village Bank is at this time traded for 42.35. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Village is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 42.34. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 197.18%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.01%. The volatility of related hype on Village Bank is about 899.08%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 42.35. About 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.91. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Village Bank last dividend was issued on the 7th of March 2024. The entity had 1:16 split on the 8th of August 2014. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Village Bank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Village Bank Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Village Bank's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Village Bank's future price movements. Getting to know how Village Bank's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Village Bank may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Village Bank Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Village price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Village using various technical indicators. When you analyze Village charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Village Bank Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Village Bank stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Village Bank and, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Village Bank based on analysis of Village Bank hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Village Bank's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Village Bank's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0112 | 0.0166 | 0.0157 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.38 | 1.78 | 1.97 |
Story Coverage note for Village Bank
The number of cover stories for Village Bank depends on current market conditions and Village Bank's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Village Bank is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Village Bank's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Village Bank Short Properties
Village Bank's future price predictability will typically decrease when Village Bank's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Village Bank and often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Village Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Village Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | -59.5 M |
Check out Village Bank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Village Bank information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Village Bank's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Complementary Tools for Village Stock analysis
When running Village Bank's price analysis, check to measure Village Bank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Village Bank is operating at the current time. Most of Village Bank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Village Bank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Village Bank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Village Bank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Village Bank's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Village Bank. If investors know Village will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Village Bank listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.22) | Earnings Share 1.29 | Revenue Per Share 16.96 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) | Return On Assets 0.0026 |
The market value of Village Bank is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Village that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Village Bank's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Village Bank's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Village Bank's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Village Bank's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Village Bank's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Village Bank is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Village Bank's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.