Waste Stock Future Price Prediction

WM -  USA Stock  

USD 147.85  0.41  0.28%

Waste Management stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Waste Management shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Waste Management's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Waste Management and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Waste Management's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Waste Management, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Check out Waste Management Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Search Price Prediction 

 
Refresh
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Waste Management based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Waste stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Waste Management over a specific investment horizon. Using Waste Management hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Waste Management from the perspective of Waste Management response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Waste Management Return on Investment is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Return on Investment is estimated at 11.90. Revenue to Assets is expected to hike to 0.63 this year, although the value of Long Term Debt to Equity will most likely fall to 1.60.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Waste Management. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Waste Management to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Waste because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Waste Management after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 148.26  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Waste Management's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Waste Management in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
125.24126.04163.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
146.21147.01147.82
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
119.00146.82165.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (9)
LowProjected EPSHigh
4.784.925.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Waste Management. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Waste Management's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Waste Management's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Waste Management.

Waste Management After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Waste Management at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Waste Management or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Waste Management, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Waste Management Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Waste Management's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Waste Management's historical news coverage. Waste Management's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 147.46 and 149.06, respectively. We have considered Waste Management's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
147.85
2nd of August 2021
147.46
Downside
148.26
After-hype Price
149.06
Upside
Waste Management is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Waste Management is based on 3 months time horizon.

Waste Management Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Waste Management is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Waste Management backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Waste Management, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.08  0.80  0.02   0.01  8 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
147.85148.260.00 
275.86  

Waste Management Hype Timeline

As of August 2, 2021 Waste Management is listed for 147.85. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Waste expected not to react to the next headlinewith price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of over 100%. The immediate return on the next newsis expected to be very small whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.08%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Waste Management is about 533.33%. The volatility of related hype on Waste Management is about 533.33% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 147.86. About 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.13. Waste Management next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 3rd of June 2021. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next expectedpress releasewill be in about 8 days.
Check out Waste Management Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Waste Management Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Waste Management's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Waste Management's future price movements. Getting to know how Waste Management rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Waste Management may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Republic Services 0.11 7 per month 0.73  0.16  1.59 (1.40)  4.17 
Diamond Offshore Drilling, 0.11 3 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
General Dynamics Corp(1.40) 8 per month 0.92  0.0468  1.54 (1.57)  5.82 
Noble Plc 0.54 4 per month 0.00  0.12  6.85 (6.72)  95,463 
Nustar Energy LP(0.16) 2 per month 0.00 (0.1)  3.63 (3.32)  8.93 
Orbital ATK 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Owens Corning 1.22 8 per month 1.91 (0.0012)  2.57 (2.78)  9.11 
Owens-Illinois 0.78 7 per month 0.00 (0.05)  2.82 (3.72)  11.12 

Waste Management Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Waste price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Waste using various technical indicators. When you analyze Waste charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Waste Management Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Waste Management stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Waste Management, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Waste Management based on analysis of Waste Management hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Waste Management's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Waste Management's related companies.
 2018 2019 2020 2021 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity1.531.881.781.6
Interest Coverage7.466.585.735.25

Story Coverage note for Waste Management

The number of cover stories for Waste Management depends on current market conditions and Waste Management's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Waste Management is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Waste Management's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Waste Management Short Properties

Waste Management's future price predictability will typically decrease when Waste Management's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Waste Management often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Waste Management's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Waste Management's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.90%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate2.21
Short Percent Of Float0.90%
Float Shares421.22M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.24M
Shares Short Prior Month4M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.29M
Date Short Interest28th of May 2021
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.51%
Check out Waste Management Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Waste Management information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Waste Management's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.

Complementary Tools for Waste Stock analysis

When running Waste Management price analysis, check to measure Waste Management's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Waste Management is operating at the current time. Most of Waste Management's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Waste Management's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Waste Management's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Waste Management to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Focused Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences
Go
Price Transformation
Use Price Transformation models to analyze depth of different equity instruments across global markets
Go
Correlation Analysis
Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated
Go
Performance Analysis
Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation
Go
Analyst Recommendations
Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories
Go
Headlines Timeline
Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity
Go
Money Managers
Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world
Go
The market value of Waste Management is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Waste that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Waste Management's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Waste Management's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Waste Management's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Waste Management underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Waste Management's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Waste Management value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Waste Management's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.