Kotak Gilt (India) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    100280 -- India Fund  

    INR 11.33  0.72  5.98%

    Kotak Gilt probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Kotak Gilt Investment PF Reg Div performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Kotak Gilt time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Kotak Gilt odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Kotak Gilt Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     11.33 30 days 11.33  ABOUT 11.01%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Kotak Gilt to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 11.01% (This Kotak Gilt Investment PF Reg Div probability density function shows the probability of Kotak Gilt Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Kotak Gilt has beta of 0.0 . This suggests the returns on DOW and Kotak Gilt do not appear to be sensitive. Additionally It does not look like the company alpha can have any bearing on the equity current valuation.
     Kotak Gilt Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.00
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.00
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =5.64
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.00

    Kotak Gilt Alerts and Suggestions

    Kotak Gilt is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    Kotak Gilt generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    The fund holds about 96.75% of its total net assets in fixed income securities

    Kotak GiltPrice Density Drivers

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