JANUS US (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    1048579 -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 24.77  0.21  0.85%

    JANUS US probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of JANUS US TWEN I ACC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify JANUS US time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like JANUS US odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    JANUS US Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     24.77 30 days 24.77  ABOUT 25.71%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of JANUS US to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 25.71% (This JANUS US TWEN I ACC probability density function shows the probability of JANUS US Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, JANUS US TWEN I ACC has beta of -0.0477 . This suggests as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding JANUS US are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, JANUS US TWEN I ACC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0201 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0201% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     JANUS US Price Density 
    Alpha over DOW
    Beta against DOW=0.05
    Overall volatility
    Information ratio =0.036803

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