HDFC Infrastructure (India) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    107524 -- India Fund  

     15.11  0.28  1.82%

    HDFC Infrastructure probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of HDFC Infrastructure Gr performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify HDFC Infrastructure time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like HDFC Infrastructure odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    HDFC Infrastructure Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     15.11 30 days 15.11  ABOUT 24.97%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of HDFC Infrastructure to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 24.97% (This HDFC Infrastructure Gr probability density function shows the probability of HDFC Infrastructure Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, HDFC Infrastructure Gr has beta of -0.1021 . This suggests as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding HDFC Infrastructure are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, HDFC Infrastructure Gr is likely to outperform the market. Additionally HDFC Infrastructure Gr has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
     HDFC Infrastructure Price Density 
    Alpha over DOW
    Beta against DOW=0.1
    Overall volatility
    Information ratio =0.14

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