HDFC Infrastructure (India) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    107524 -- India Fund  

    INR 15.59  0.36  2.26%

    HDFC Infrastructure probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of HDFC Infrastructure Gr performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify HDFC Infrastructure time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like HDFC Infrastructure odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    HDFC Infrastructure Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     15.59 30 days 15.59  ABOUT 28.55%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of HDFC Infrastructure to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 28.55% (This HDFC Infrastructure Gr probability density function shows the probability of HDFC Infrastructure Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, HDFC Infrastructure has beta of 0.0872 . This suggests as returns on market go up, HDFC Infrastructure average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding HDFC Infrastructure Gr will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.2483 implying that it can potentially generate 0.2483% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     HDFC Infrastructure Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.25
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.09
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =8.04
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.012692

    HDFC Infrastructure Alerts

    HDFC Infrastructure Alerts and Suggestions

    HDFC Infrastructure is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    HDFC Infrastructure generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    The fund holds 98.44% of its total net assets in equities

    Price Density Drivers

    HDFC Infrastructure Health Indicators

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