LT Gilt (India) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    112428 -- India Fund  

    INR 11.83  0.02  0.17%

    LT Gilt probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of LT Gilt Qt Div performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify LT Gilt time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like LT Gilt odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    LT Gilt Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     11.83 30 days 11.83  ABOUT 38.31%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of LT Gilt to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 38.31% (This LT Gilt Qt Div probability density function shows the probability of LT Gilt Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, LT Gilt Qt Div has beta of -0.3761 . This suggests as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding LT Gilt are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, LT Gilt Qt Div is likely to outperform the market. Additionally LT Gilt Qt Div has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
     LT Gilt Price Density 
    Current Price   Target Price   
    Alpha over DOW
    Beta against DOW=0.38
    Overall volatility
    Information ratio =0.2

    LT Gilt Alerts

    LT Gilt Alerts and Suggestions

    LT Gilt Qt generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    The fund holds about 95.0% of its total net assets in fixed income securities
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