LT Gilt (India) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    112428 -- India Fund  

    INR 11.79  0.02  0.17%

    LT Gilt probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of LT Gilt Qt Div performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify LT Gilt time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like LT Gilt odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    LT Gilt Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     11.79 30 days 11.79  ABOUT 79.73%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of LT Gilt to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 79.73% (This LT Gilt Qt Div probability density function shows the probability of LT Gilt Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, LT Gilt has beta of 0.2775 . This suggests as returns on market go up, LT Gilt average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding LT Gilt Qt Div will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. LT Gilt Qt is significantly underperforming DOW.
     LT Gilt Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.07
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.28
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =0.24
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.1

    LT Gilt Alerts and Suggestions

    LT Gilt Qt is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund holds about 95.0% of its total net assets in fixed income securities

    LT GiltPrice Density Drivers

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