11489942 (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    11489942 -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 1,113  157.94  16.54%

    11489942 probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of 11489942 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify 11489942 time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like 11489942 odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    11489942 Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     1,113 30 days 1,113  ABOUT 18.71%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of 11489942 to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 18.71% (This 11489942 probability density function shows the probability of 11489942 Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the fund has beta coefficient of 1.474 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, 11489942 will likely underperform. Additionally 11489942 has an alpha of 0.2639 implying that it can potentially generate 0.2639% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     11489942 Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.26
    β
    Beta against DOW=1.47
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =520.18
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.032156

    11489942 Alerts

    11489942 Alerts and Suggestions

    11489942 generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
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