JAN PERK (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    11848654 -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 13.34  0.49  3.54%

    JAN PERK probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of JAN PERK USD B ACC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify JAN PERK time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like JAN PERK odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    JAN PERK Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     13.34 30 days 13.34  ABOUT 29.2%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of JAN PERK to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 29.2% (This JAN PERK USD B ACC probability density function shows the probability of JAN PERK Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, JAN PERK USD B ACC has beta of -0.8568 . This suggests Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. JAN PERK USD is significantly underperforming DOW.
     JAN PERK Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.09
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.86
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =6.08
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.09

    JAN PERK Alerts

    JAN PERK Alerts and Suggestions

    JAN PERK USD is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    JAN PERK USD generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    Check also Trending Equities. Please also try Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
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