JAN PERK (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    11848654 -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 13.34  0.49  3.54%

    JAN PERK probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of JAN PERK USD B ACC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify JAN PERK time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like JAN PERK odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    JAN PERK Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     13.34 30 days 13.34  ABOUT 22.69%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of JAN PERK to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 22.69% (This JAN PERK USD B ACC probability density function shows the probability of JAN PERK Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, JAN PERK has beta of 0.0396 . This suggests as returns on market go up, JAN PERK average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding JAN PERK USD B ACC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally JAN PERK USD B ACC has an alpha of 0.0095 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0095% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     JAN PERK Price Density 
    Current Price   Target Price   
    Alpha over DOW
    Beta against DOW=0.0396
    Overall volatility
    Information ratio =0.06

    Current Sentiment - 11848654

    JAN PERK USD Investor Sentiment

    Macroaxis portfolio users are unresponsive in their sentiment towards investing in JAN PERK USD B ACC. What is your judgment towards investing in JAN PERK USD B ACC? Are you bullish or bearish?
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