JAN PERK (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over

    11848654 -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 13.34  0.49  3.54%

    JAN PERK probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of JAN PERK USD B ACC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify JAN PERK time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like JAN PERK odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
     Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    JAN PERK Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     13.34 30 days 13.34  MORE THAN 93.0%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of JAN PERK to move above current price in 30 days from now is more than 93.0% (This JAN PERK USD B ACC probability density function shows the probability of JAN PERK Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, JAN PERK has beta of 0.286 . This suggests as returns on market go up, JAN PERK average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding JAN PERK USD B ACC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally JAN PERK USD B ACC has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
     JAN PERK Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.0093
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.29
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =0.24
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.03

    Current Sentiment - 11848654

    JAN PERK USD Investor Sentiment
    Macroaxis portfolio users are unresponsive in their sentiment towards investing in JAN PERK USD B ACC. What is your judgment towards investing in JAN PERK USD B ACC? Are you bullish or bearish?
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