Union KBC (India) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    119318 -- India Fund  

    INR 1,633  0.81  0.0496%

    Union KBC probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Union KBC UST Debt Fund Dir Gr performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Union KBC time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Union KBC odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    Union KBC Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     1,633 30 days 1,633  ABOUT 26.75%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Union KBC to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 26.75% (This Union KBC UST Debt Fund Dir Gr probability density function shows the probability of Union KBC Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Union KBC UST Debt Fund Dir Gr has beta of -0.0214 . This suggests as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Union KBC are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Union KBC UST Debt Fund Dir Gr is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Union KBC UST Debt Fund Dir Gr has an alpha of 0.0646 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0646% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     Union KBC Price Density 
    Alpha over DOW
    Beta against DOW=0.02
    Overall volatility
    Information ratio =0.81

    Union KBC Alerts

    Union KBC Alerts and Suggestions

    Union KBC UST is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund holds about 100.0% of its total net assets in cash

    Price Density Drivers

    Union KBC Health Indicators

    Check also Trending Equities. Please also try Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
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