POLAR CAP (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over

    12122045 -- Ireland Fund  

    EUR 8.74  1.06  13.80%

    POLAR CAP probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of POLAR CAP EM EUR I performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify POLAR CAP time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like POLAR CAP odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
     Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    POLAR CAP Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     8.74 30 days 8.74  ABOUT 22.19%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of POLAR CAP to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 22.19% (This POLAR CAP EM EUR I probability density function shows the probability of POLAR CAP Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the fund has beta coefficient of 1.1692 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, POLAR CAP will likely underperform. In addition to that POLAR CAP EM EUR I has an alpha of 2.4256 implying that it can potentially generate 2.4256% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     POLAR CAP Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =2.43
    β
    Beta against DOW=1.17
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =4.27
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.25

    Current Sentiment - 12122045

    POLAR CAP EM Investor Sentiment
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