|Current Price||Horizon||Target Price||Odds to move above current price in 30 days|
| 10.28 ||30 days|| 10.28 || ABOUT 17.73%|
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of POL EM to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 17.73% (This POL EM MKT USD R AC probability density function shows the probability of POL EM Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, POL EM MKT USD R AC has beta of -0.2312 . This suggests as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding POL EM are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, POL EM MKT USD R AC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally POL EM MKT USD R AC has an alpha of 0.1228 implying that it can potentially generate 0.1228% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
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