13077673 (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    13077673 -- Ireland Fund  

    SEK 12.66  0.37  3.01%

    13077673 probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of 13077673 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify 13077673 time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like 13077673 odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    13077673 Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     12.66 30 days 12.66  ABOUT 11.38%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of 13077673 to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 11.38% (This 13077673 probability density function shows the probability of 13077673 Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, 13077673 has beta of 0.498 . This suggests as returns on market go up, 13077673 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding 13077673 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally 13077673 has an alpha of 0.0405 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0405% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     13077673 Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.040467
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.50
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =6.27
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.04997

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    13077673 is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    Check also Trending Equities. Please also try Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
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