LT Business (India) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    130826 -- India Fund  

    INR 13.18  0.12  0.92%

    LT Business probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of LT Business Cycles Reg Div performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify LT Business time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like LT Business odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    LT Business Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     13.18 30 days 13.18  ABOUT 11.19%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of LT Business to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 11.19% (This LT Business Cycles Reg Div probability density function shows the probability of LT Business Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, LT Business Cycles Reg Div has beta of -0.2218 . This suggests as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding LT Business are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, LT Business Cycles Reg Div is likely to outperform the market. Additionally LT Business Cycles Reg Div has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
     LT Business Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.02
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.22
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =7.26
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.58

    LT Business Alerts

    LT Business Alerts and Suggestions

    LT Business Cycles generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    The fund holds 96.32% of its total net assets in equities

    Price Density Drivers

    LT Business Health Indicators

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