NEU BER (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over

    13296401 -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 14.15  0.69  5.13%

    NEU BER probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of NEU BER USD A AC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify NEU BER time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like NEU BER odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
     Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    NEU BER Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     14.15 30 days 14.15  ABOUT 15.37%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of NEU BER to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 15.37% (This NEU BER USD A AC probability density function shows the probability of NEU BER Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the fund has beta coefficient of 3.2187 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, NEU BER will likely underperform. Additionally NEU BER USD A AC has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
     NEU BER Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.05
    β
    Beta against DOW=3.22
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =7.09
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.06

    NEU BER Alerts

    NEU BER Alerts and Suggestions
    NEU BER USD appears to be very risky and stock price may revert if volatility continues
    Check also Trending Equities. Please also try Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
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