NEU BER (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    13296401 -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 14.15  0.69  5.13%

    NEU BER probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of NEU BER USD A AC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify NEU BER time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like NEU BER odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    NEU BER Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     14.15 30 days 14.15  ABOUT 13.16%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of NEU BER to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 13.16% (This NEU BER USD A AC probability density function shows the probability of NEU BER Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, NEU BER has beta of 0.5029 . This suggests as returns on market go up, NEU BER average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding NEU BER USD A AC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally NEU BER USD A AC has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
     NEU BER Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.19
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.50
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =7.04
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.06

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