LIC MF (India) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    134864 -- India Fund  

    INR 17.55  0.05  0.29%

    LIC MF probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of LIC MF ULIS 10Y RP RC Reg Yr Div performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify LIC MF time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like LIC MF odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    LIC MF Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     17.55 30 days 17.55  ABOUT 65.27%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of LIC MF to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 65.27% (This LIC MF ULIS 10Y RP RC Reg Yr Div probability density function shows the probability of LIC MF Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, LIC MF ULIS 10Y RP RC Reg Yr Div has beta of -0.0111 . This suggests as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding LIC MF are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, LIC MF ULIS 10Y RP RC Reg Yr Div is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. LIC MF ULIS is significantly underperforming DOW.
     LIC MF Price Density 
    Alpha over DOW
    Beta against DOW=0.01
    Overall volatility
    Information ratio =0.1

    LIC MF Alerts

    LIC MF Alerts and Suggestions

    LIC MF ULIS is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    The fund holds about 12.4% of its total net assets in cash

    Price Density Drivers

    LIC MF Health Indicators

    Check also Trending Equities. Please also try Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.