LIC MF (India) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    134864 -- India Fund  

    INR 18.01  0.10  0.56%

    LIC MF probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of LIC MF ULIS 10Y RP RC Reg Yr Div performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify LIC MF time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like LIC MF odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    LIC MF Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     18.01 30 days 18.01  ABOUT 11.03%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of LIC MF to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 11.03% (This LIC MF ULIS 10Y RP RC Reg Yr Div probability density function shows the probability of LIC MF Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, LIC MF ULIS 10Y RP RC Reg Yr Div has beta of -0.1354 . This suggests as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding LIC MF are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, LIC MF ULIS 10Y RP RC Reg Yr Div is likely to outperform the market. Additionally LIC MF ULIS 10Y RP RC Reg Yr Div has an alpha of 0.3632 implying that it can potentially generate 0.3632% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     LIC MF Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.36
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.14
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =0.12
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.41

    LIC MF Alerts

    LIC MF Alerts and Suggestions

    The fund holds about 12.4% of its total net assets in cash
    Check also Trending Equities. Please also try Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using aroon oscillator and other momentum ratios.
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