|Current Price||Horizon||Target Price||Odds to move above current price in 30 days|
| 99.45 ||30 days|| 99.45 || ABOUT 18.86%|
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of 1361 to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 18.86% (This 1361 probability density function shows the probability of 1361 Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, 1361 has beta of -0.0236 . This suggests as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding 1361 are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, 1361 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally 1361 has an alpha of 0.0279 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0279% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
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