13779865 (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    13779865 -- Ireland Fund  

    EUR 11.99  0.02  0.17%

    13779865 probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of 13779865 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify 13779865 time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like 13779865 odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    13779865 Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     11.99 30 days 11.99  ABOUT 27.84%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of 13779865 to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 27.84% (This 13779865 probability density function shows the probability of 13779865 Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, 13779865 has beta of 0.0223 . This suggests as returns on market go up, 13779865 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding 13779865 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally 13779865 has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
     13779865 Price Density 
    Current Price   Target Price   
    Alpha over DOW
    Beta against DOW=0.0223
    Overall volatility
    Information ratio =1.19

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    Check also Trending Equities. Please also try Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
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