14025410 (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    14025410 -- Ireland Fund  

    EUR 1,281  132.76  11.57%

    14025410 probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of 14025410 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify 14025410 time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like 14025410 odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    14025410 Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     1,281 30 days 1,281  ABOUT 20.2%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of 14025410 to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 20.2% (This 14025410 probability density function shows the probability of 14025410 Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, 14025410 has beta of -2.2688 . This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding 14025410 are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, 14025410 is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally 14025410 has an alpha of 0.6097 implying that it can potentially generate 0.6097% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     14025410 Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.61
    β
    Beta against DOW=2.27
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =597.71
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.015887

    14025410 Alerts

    14025410 Alerts and Suggestions

    14025410 generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    Check also Trending Equities. Please also try Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
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