14074716 (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over

    14074716 -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 16.63  0.75  4.32%

    14074716 probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of 14074716 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify 14074716 time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like 14074716 odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
     Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    14074716 Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     16.63 30 days 16.63  ABOUT 20.75%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of 14074716 to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 20.75% (This 14074716 probability density function shows the probability of 14074716 Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, 14074716 has beta of -1.1167 . This suggests Additionally 14074716 has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
     14074716 Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.11
    β
    Beta against DOW=1.12
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =8.70
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.12

    14074716 Alerts

    14074716 Alerts and Suggestions
    14074716 generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    Check also Trending Equities. Please also try Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 stocks, funds, and etfs against different fundamentals.