14255194 (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    14255194 -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 0.50  0.09  15.25%

    14255194 probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of 14255194 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify 14255194 time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like 14255194 odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    14255194 Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     0.50 30 days 0.50  ABOUT 29.79%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of 14255194 to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 29.79% (This 14255194 probability density function shows the probability of 14255194 Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, 14255194 has beta of -2.234 . This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding 14255194 are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, 14255194 is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally 14255194 has an alpha of 0.9495 implying that it can potentially generate 0.9495% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     14255194 Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.95
    β
    Beta against DOW=2.23
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =0.28
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.036426

    14255194 Alerts

    14255194 Alerts and Suggestions

    14255194 generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    14255194 has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
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