UBS SEL (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    1480202 -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 121.32  0.00  0.00%

    UBS SEL probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of UBS SEL USD INV AC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify UBS SEL time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like UBS SEL odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    UBS SEL Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     121.32 30 days 121.32  ABOUT 11.42%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of UBS SEL to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 11.42% (This UBS SEL USD INV AC probability density function shows the probability of UBS SEL Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, UBS SEL has beta of 0.6037 . This suggests as returns on market go up, UBS SEL average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding UBS SEL USD INV AC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally UBS SEL USD INV AC has an alpha of 0.0284 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0284% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     UBS SEL Price Density 
    Current Price   Target Price   
    Alpha over DOW
    Beta against DOW=0.60
    Overall volatility
    Information ratio =0.02

    Current Sentiment - 1480202

    UBS SEL USD Investor Sentiment

    Macroaxis portfolio users are unresponsive in their sentiment towards investing in UBS SEL USD INV AC. What is your outlook on investing in UBS SEL USD INV AC? Are you bullish or bearish?
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