|Current Price||Horizon||Target Price||Odds to move above current price in 30 days|
| 121.32 ||30 days|| 121.32 || ABOUT 11.42%|
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of UBS SEL to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 11.42% (This UBS SEL USD INV AC probability density function shows the probability of UBS SEL Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, UBS SEL has beta of 0.6037 . This suggests as returns on market go up, UBS SEL average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding UBS SEL USD INV AC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally UBS SEL USD INV AC has an alpha of 0.0284 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0284% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
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