UBS SEL (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    1480202 -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 118.66  0.01  0.0084%

    UBS SEL probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of UBS SEL USD INV AC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify UBS SEL time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like UBS SEL odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    UBS SEL Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     118.66 30 days 118.66  ABOUT 12.66%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of UBS SEL to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 12.66% (This UBS SEL USD INV AC probability density function shows the probability of UBS SEL Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, UBS SEL has beta of 0.0723 . This suggests as returns on market go up, UBS SEL average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding UBS SEL USD INV AC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally UBS SEL USD INV AC has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
     UBS SEL Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.1
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.07
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =60.68
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.06

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