TRD FC (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    1587046 -- Ireland Fund  

    EUR 39.91  2.10  5.55%

    TRD FC probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of TRD FC EM EUR A performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify TRD FC time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like TRD FC odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    TRD FC Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     39.91 30 days 39.91  ABOUT 11.7%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of TRD FC to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 11.7% (This TRD FC EM EUR A probability density function shows the probability of TRD FC Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, TRD FC EM EUR A has beta of -0.1442 . This suggests as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding TRD FC are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, TRD FC EM EUR A is likely to outperform the market. Additionally TRD FC EM EUR A has an alpha of 0.0104 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0104% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     TRD FC Price Density 
    Alpha over DOW
    Beta against DOW=0.14
    Overall volatility
    Information ratio =0.07

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