VAN PAC (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    1924820 -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 200.00  10.55  5.57%

    VAN PAC probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of VAN PAC INS USD ACC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify VAN PAC time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like VAN PAC odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    VAN PAC Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     200.00 30 days 200.00  ABOUT 23.59%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of VAN PAC to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 23.59% (This VAN PAC INS USD ACC probability density function shows the probability of VAN PAC Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, VAN PAC has beta of 0.4129 . This suggests as returns on market go up, VAN PAC average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding VAN PAC INS USD ACC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally VAN PAC INS USD ACC has an alpha of 0.0887 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0887% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     VAN PAC Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.09
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.41
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =93.11
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.03581

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    Check also Trending Equities. Please also try Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
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