19808801 (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    19808801 -- Ireland Fund  

    EUR 11.49  0.43  3.89%

    19808801 probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of 19808801 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify 19808801 time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like 19808801 odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    19808801 Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     11.49 30 days 11.49  ABOUT 29.62%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of 19808801 to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 29.62% (This 19808801 probability density function shows the probability of 19808801 Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, 19808801 has beta of 0.4105 . This suggests as returns on market go up, 19808801 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding 19808801 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.3074 implying that it can potentially generate 0.3074% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     19808801 Price Density 
    Alpha over DOW
    Beta against DOW=0.41
    Overall volatility
    Information ratio =0.11

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