POL GLB (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    19897176 -- Ireland Fund  

    EUR 11.98  0.64  5.64%

    POL GLB probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of POL GLB ALPH EUR R performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify POL GLB time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like POL GLB odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    POL GLB Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     11.98 30 days 11.98  ABOUT 19.44%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of POL GLB to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 19.44% (This POL GLB ALPH EUR R probability density function shows the probability of POL GLB Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, POL GLB ALPH EUR R has beta of -1.0408 . This suggests Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0631 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0631% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     POL GLB Price Density 
    Alpha over DOW
    Beta against DOW=1.04
    Overall volatility
    Information ratio =0.014569

    POL GLB Alerts and Suggestions

    POL GLB ALPH is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
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