20228158 (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    20228158 -- Ireland Fund  

    GBP 1.33  0.07  5.41%

    20228158 probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of 20228158 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify 20228158 time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like 20228158 odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    20228158 Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     1.33 30 days 1.33  ABOUT 23.88%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of 20228158 to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 23.88% (This 20228158 probability density function shows the probability of 20228158 Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, 20228158 has beta of -0.4873 . This suggests as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding 20228158 are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, 20228158 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally 20228158 has an alpha of 0.183 implying that it can potentially generate 0.183% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     20228158 Price Density 
    Alpha over DOW
    Beta against DOW=0.49
    Overall volatility
    Information ratio =0.12

    20228158 Alerts

    20228158 Alerts and Suggestions

    20228158 is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    20228158 generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    20228158 may become a speculative penny stock
    Check also Trending Equities. Please also try Portfolio Manager module to state of the art portfolio manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
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