20228158 (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    20228158 -- Ireland Fund  

    GBP 1.33  0.07  5.56%

    20228158 probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of 20228158 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify 20228158 time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like 20228158 odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    20228158 Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     1.33 30 days 1.33  ABOUT 21.4%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of 20228158 to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 21.4% (This 20228158 probability density function shows the probability of 20228158 Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, 20228158 has beta of 0.9404 . This suggests 20228158 market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market benchmark goes up or down, 20228158 is expected to follow. Additionally 20228158 has an alpha of 0.4581 implying that it can potentially generate 0.4581% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     20228158 Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.46
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.94
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =0.64
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.13

    20228158 Alerts

    20228158 Alerts and Suggestions

    20228158 is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    20228158 generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    20228158 may become a speculative penny stock
    Check also Trending Equities. Please also try Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
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