2070270 (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    2070270 -- Ireland Fund  

    GBP 15.01  0.04  0.27%

    2070270 probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of 2070270 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify 2070270 time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like 2070270 odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    2070270 Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     15.01 30 days 15.01  ABOUT 27.25%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of 2070270 to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 27.25% (This 2070270 probability density function shows the probability of 2070270 Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, 2070270 has beta of -0.0186 . This suggests as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding 2070270 are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, 2070270 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally 2070270 has an alpha of 0.0036 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0036% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     2070270 Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.003566
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.02
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =6.91
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.42

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