21046252 (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    21046252 -- Ireland Fund  

    EUR 5.17  0.15  2.99%

    21046252 probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of 21046252 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify 21046252 time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like 21046252 odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    21046252 Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     5.17 30 days 5.17  ABOUT 27.17%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of 21046252 to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 27.17% (This 21046252 probability density function shows the probability of 21046252 Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, 21046252 has beta of -0.1757 . This suggests as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding 21046252 are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, 21046252 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.1475 implying that it can potentially generate 0.1475% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     21046252 Price Density 
    Alpha over DOW
    Beta against DOW=0.18
    Overall volatility
    Information ratio =0.033867

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