|Current Price||Horizon||Target Price||Odds to move above current price in 30 days|
| 165.00 ||30 days|| 165.00 || ABOUT 21.95%|
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of VAN US to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 21.95% (This VAN US USD INV ACC probability density function shows the probability of VAN US Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, VAN US has beta of 0.2449 . This suggests as returns on market go up, VAN US average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding VAN US USD INV ACC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally VAN US USD INV ACC has an alpha of 0.2412 implying that it can potentially generate 0.2412% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).