VAN US (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    2151915 -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 165.00  14.75  9.82%

    VAN US probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of VAN US USD INV ACC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify VAN US time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like VAN US odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    VAN US Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     165.00 30 days 165.00  ABOUT 19.36%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of VAN US to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 19.36% (This VAN US USD INV ACC probability density function shows the probability of VAN US Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the fund has beta coefficient of 1.9406 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, VAN US will likely underperform. Additionally VAN US USD INV ACC has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
     VAN US Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.13
    β
    Beta against DOW=1.94
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =78.38
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.001408

    VAN US Alerts

    VAN US Alerts and Suggestions

    VAN US USD generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
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