BRW US (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over

    23564676 -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 9.44  0.82  7.99%

    BRW US probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of BRW US SML USD A AC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify BRW US time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like BRW US odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
     Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    BRW US Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     9.44 30 days 9.44  ABOUT 24.43%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of BRW US to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 24.43% (This BRW US SML USD A AC probability density function shows the probability of BRW US Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the fund has beta coefficient of 1.9824 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, BRW US will likely underperform. Additionally BRW US SML USD A AC has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
     BRW US Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.13
    β
    Beta against DOW=1.98
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =5.10
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.0002

    BRW US Alerts

    BRW US Alerts and Suggestions
    BRW US SML has very high historical volatility over the last 30 days
    Check also Trending Equities. Please also try Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.