BRW US (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    23564676 -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 9.44  0.82  7.99%

    BRW US probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of BRW US SML USD A AC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify BRW US time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like BRW US odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    BRW US Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     9.44 30 days 9.44  ABOUT 25.71%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of BRW US to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 25.71% (This BRW US SML USD A AC probability density function shows the probability of BRW US Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the fund has beta coefficient of 1.5395 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, BRW US will likely underperform. Additionally BRW US SML USD A AC has an alpha of 0.2598 implying that it can potentially generate 0.2598% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     BRW US Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.26
    β
    Beta against DOW=1.54
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =4.86
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.06

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    BRW US SML is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
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