24560669 (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    24560669 -- Ireland Fund  

     9.50  0.33  3.60%

    24560669 probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of 24560669 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify 24560669 time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like 24560669 odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    24560669 Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     9.50 30 days 9.50  NEARLY 4.63%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of 24560669 to move above current price in 30 days from now is nearly 4.63% (This 24560669 probability density function shows the probability of 24560669 Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, 24560669 has beta of 0.0969 . This suggests as returns on market go up, 24560669 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding 24560669 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally 24560669 has an alpha of 0.0802 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0802% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     24560669 Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.08
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.1
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =0.13
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.09

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