24560669 (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    24560669 -- Ireland Fund  

     9.50  0.33  3.60%

    24560669 probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of 24560669 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify 24560669 time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like 24560669 odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    24560669 Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     9.50 30 days 9.50  ABOUT 9.9%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of 24560669 to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 9.9% (This 24560669 probability density function shows the probability of 24560669 Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, 24560669 has beta of -0.2172 . This suggests as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding 24560669 are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, 24560669 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally 24560669 has an alpha of 0.211 implying that it can potentially generate 0.211% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     24560669 Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.21
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.22
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =0.16
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.49

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