25159769 (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    25159769 -- Ireland Fund  

    EUR 0.93  0.11  10.58%

    25159769 probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of 25159769 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify 25159769 time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like 25159769 odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    25159769 Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     0.93 30 days 0.93  ABOUT 26.25%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of 25159769 to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 26.25% (This 25159769 probability density function shows the probability of 25159769 Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the fund has beta coefficient of 1.1093 . This suggests 25159769 market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market benchmark goes up or down, 25159769 is expected to follow. Additionally 25159769 has an alpha of 0.1185 implying that it can potentially generate 0.1185% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     25159769 Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.12
    β
    Beta against DOW=1.11
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =0.49
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.01669

    25159769 Alerts

    25159769 Alerts and Suggestions

    25159769 generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    25159769 has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
    Check also Trending Equities. Please also try Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
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