25159769 (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over

    25159769 -- Ireland Fund  

    EUR 0.93  0.11  10.58%

    25159769 probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of 25159769 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify 25159769 time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like 25159769 odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
     Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    25159769 Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     0.93 30 days 0.93  ABOUT 25.34%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of 25159769 to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 25.34% (This 25159769 probability density function shows the probability of 25159769 Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the fund has beta coefficient of 3.3791 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, 25159769 will likely underperform. Additionally 25159769 has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
     25159769 Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.08
    β
    Beta against DOW=3.38
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =0.51
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.019297

    25159769 Alerts

    25159769 Alerts and Suggestions
    25159769 generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    25159769 has high historical volatility and very poor performance
    25159769 has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
    Check also Trending Equities. Please also try Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
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