26197309 (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    26197309 -- Ireland Fund  

    GBP 10.34  0.04  0.39%

    26197309 probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of 26197309 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify 26197309 time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like 26197309 odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    26197309 Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     10.34 30 days 10.34  ABOUT 22.32%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of 26197309 to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 22.32% (This 26197309 probability density function shows the probability of 26197309 Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, 26197309 has beta of 0.0161 . This suggests as returns on market go up, 26197309 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding 26197309 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally 26197309 has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
     26197309 Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.009
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.0161
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =5.16
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.14

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