28567974 (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    28567974 -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 101.91  3.27  3.32%

    28567974 probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of 28567974 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify 28567974 time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like 28567974 odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    28567974 Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     101.91 30 days 101.91  ABOUT 31.22%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of 28567974 to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 31.22% (This 28567974 probability density function shows the probability of 28567974 Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, 28567974 has beta of 0.2107 . This suggests as returns on market go up, 28567974 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding 28567974 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally 28567974 has an alpha of 0.2339 implying that it can potentially generate 0.2339% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
     28567974 Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.23
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.21
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =40.70
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.13

    28567974 Alerts

    28567974 Alerts and Suggestions

    28567974 is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
    28567974 generates negative expected return over the last 30 days

    Price Density Drivers

    28567974 Health Indicators

    Check also Trending Equities. Please also try Portfolio Reporting module to create custom reports across your portfolios and generate quick suggestion pitch.
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