Controladora Vuela (Germany) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

2CDA -- Germany Stock  

EUR 6.64  0.00  0.00%

Controladora Vuela probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Controladora Vuela Compaa de Aviacin S A B de C V performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Controladora Vuela time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Controladora Vuela odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Controladora Vuela Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 6.64 30 days 6.64  ABOUT 33.52%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Controladora Vuela to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 33.52% (This Controladora Vuela Compaa de Aviacin S A B de C V probability density function shows the probability of Controladora Vuela Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Controladora Vuela has beta of 0.5945 . This suggests as returns on market go up, Controladora Vuela average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Controladora Vuela Compaa de Aviacin S A B de C V will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Controladora Vuela Compaa de Aviacin S A B de C V has an alpha of 0.348 implying that it can potentially generate 0.348% excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Controladora Vuela Price Density 
Current Price   Target Price   
Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW=0.59
Overall volatility
Information ratio =0.16

Controladora Vuela Alerts

Controladora Vuela Alerts and Suggestions

Controladora Vuela is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Controladora Vuela generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Controladora Vuela has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported revenue of 1.25 B. Net Loss for the year was (19.83 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.87 B.
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