Controladora Vuela (Germany) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

2CDA -- Germany Stock  

EUR 5.23  0.00  0.00%

Controladora Vuela probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of Controladora Vuela Compaa de Aviacin S A B de C V performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify Controladora Vuela time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Controladora Vuela odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Controladora Vuela Target Price Odds to finish over

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
 5.23 30 days 5.23  ABOUT 87.26%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of Controladora Vuela to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 87.26% (This Controladora Vuela Compaa de Aviacin S A B de C V probability density function shows the probability of Controladora Vuela Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Controladora Vuela Compaa de Aviacin S A B de C V has beta of -0.0992 . This suggests as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Controladora Vuela are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Controladora Vuela Compaa de Aviacin S A B de C V is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Controladora Vuela Compaa de Aviacin S A B de C V has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
 Controladora Vuela Price Density 
      Price 
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.47
β
Beta against DOW=0.1
σ
Overall volatility
=0.46
Ir
Information ratio =0.09

Controladora Vuela Alerts

Controladora Vuela Alerts and Suggestions

Controladora Vuela is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Controladora Vuela generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Controladora Vuela has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has accumulated 160.39M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 36.0 indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Controladora Vuela Compaa de Aviacin S A B de C V has Current Ratio of 0.96 indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due.
This company reported revenue of 1.3B. Net Loss for the year was (34.49M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.87B.

Price Density Drivers

Controladora Vuela Health Indicators

Float Shares62.57M
Check also Trending Equities. Please also try Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
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