JAN PRK (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    3697912 -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 13.45  1.16  7.94%

    JAN PRK probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of JAN PRK US USD A performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify JAN PRK time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like JAN PRK odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    JAN PRK Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     13.45 30 days 13.45  ABOUT 57.2%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of JAN PRK to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 57.2% (This JAN PRK US USD A probability density function shows the probability of JAN PRK Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the fund has beta coefficient of 1.0397 . This suggests JAN PRK US USD A market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, JAN PRK is expected to follow. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. JAN PRK US is significantly underperforming DOW.
     JAN PRK Price Density 
    Alpha over DOW
    Beta against DOW=1.04
    Overall volatility
    Information ratio =0.01

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