JAN PRK (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over Current Price

    3697912 -- Ireland Fund  

    USD 13.45  1.16  7.94%

    JAN PRK probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of JAN PRK US USD A performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify JAN PRK time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like JAN PRK odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
    Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    JAN PRK Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     13.45 30 days 13.45  ABOUT 57.2%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of JAN PRK to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 57.2% (This JAN PRK US USD A probability density function shows the probability of JAN PRK Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the fund has beta coefficient of 1.0397 . This suggests JAN PRK US USD A market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, JAN PRK is expected to follow. Additionally The company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. JAN PRK US is significantly underperforming DOW.
     JAN PRK Price Density 
          Price 
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.12
    β
    Beta against DOW=1.04
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =5.63
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.01

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