CR MAR (Ireland) Probability of Target Price Finishing Over

    4778476 -- Ireland Fund  

    EUR 194.75  17.07  8.06%

    CR MAR probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of CR MAR II EUR A performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify CR MAR time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like CR MAR odds to be computed. Check also Trending Equities.
     Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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    CR MAR Target Price Odds to finish over

    Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above current price in 30 days
     194.75 30 days 194.75  ABOUT 18.39%
    Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of CR MAR to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 18.39% (This CR MAR II EUR A probability density function shows the probability of CR MAR Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days) .
    Assuming 30 trading days horizon, CR MAR has beta of 0.7328 . This suggests as returns on market go up, CR MAR average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding CR MAR II EUR A will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CR MAR II EUR A has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
     CR MAR Price Density 
     
          
    Current Price   Target Price   
    α
    Alpha over DOW
    =0.32
    β
    Beta against DOW=0.73
    σ
    Overall volatility
    =103.82
    Ir
    Information ratio =0.07

    CR MAR Alerts

    CR MAR Alerts and Suggestions
    CR MAR II generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
    Check also Trending Equities. Please also try Pattern Recognition module to use different pattern recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.